“Wagner mercenary group boss Yevgeny Prigozhin who led a botched rebellion is likely dead or in jail, a former senior US military leader has said.

Moscow previously claimed Vladimir Putin met Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin five days after the mercenary chief led a rebellion in Russia, but retired General Robert Abrams said this was likely staged.

Mr Abrams, previously served as the commander of US Forces Korea, told ABC News: “My personal assessment is that I doubt we’ll see Prigozhin ever again publicly.”

Analyst Comment: If Prighozin turned up dead I would certainly modify our assessments on the Wagner coup; however, it is worth highlighting this to show how deep confirmation bias goes. The number of facts that don’t align with “failed coup” narrative is staggering, yet so many military officials, open source intelligence analysts and others cling onto their chosen narrative rather than revise their initial estimations.

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